Carnivore and Keto: Why the Labs Look Great at First — and What’s Missing When You Cut Out Plants
Dec 09, 2025Carnivore and Keto: Why the Labs Look Great at First — and What’s Missing When You Cut Out Plants
By: Marcy Schoenborn
(Citations at bottom)
Let’s get honest about this:
A lot of the “keto fixed my labs!” and “carnivore changed my life in 30 days!” hype isn’t coming from magical ketones or the healing power of ribeye.
It’s coming from the fact that people finally stopped eating the ultra-processed foods that wrecked their metabolism in the first place.
When you go from:
coffee creamer + bagel + snacks + DoorDash
to
steak + eggs + water
Your body is going to breathe the biggest sigh of relief of its life.
But that doesn’t mean keto or carnivore is the optimal long-term human diet. And that’s the nuance almost nobody is talking about.
Let’s unpack this — deeply, clearly, and with receipts.
1. Why Keto and Carnivore Labs Look Fantastic in the Beginning
1. You removed ultra-processed food (UPF)
This is the real magic trick.
Controlled trials show that when people switch from ultra-processed to minimally processed meals, they automatically eat ~400–500 fewer calories/day, lose fat, and improve insulin sensitivity — even when macros and calories are matched on paper.
When calories go down, weight goes down, and metabolic markers follow:
-
fasting glucose drops
-
fasting insulin drops
-
triglycerides fall
-
HDL improves
-
blood pressure improves
-
inflammation drops
You could do that on Mediterranean, plant-forward, paleo, or high-fiber omnivore diets too.
It’s the extraction of UPF, not the elimination of plants, driving the early glow-up.
2. Blood sugar becomes calmer
Low carb = fewer glucose spikes = lower insulin needs.
Very-low-carb diets reliably improve A1c and triglycerides in type 2 diabetes — while often raising LDL-C.
3. Early fat loss improves labs automatically
Even a modest reduction in visceral fat dramatically improves:
-
inflammatory markers
-
liver enzymes
-
insulin resistance
A 2025 UPF reduction study in older adults showed:
-
~10% total fat loss
-
13% visceral fat loss
-
23% improvement in insulin sensitivity
None of these require eating only meat.
2. What the Data Actually Says About Keto & Carnivore
Short-term benefits? Yep.
Research repeatedly shows improved:
-
glucose control
-
insulin sensitivity
-
triglycerides
-
body fat
-
sometimes CRP
A two-year keto program in type 2 diabetes even improved small LDL particles… while raising total LDL-C.
But long term? The concerns grow.
LDL-C and ApoB often rise — a lot.
A 2023 study reported keto diets increasing LDL-C and ApoB, with notable gut microbiome shifts.
And we now have data showing that “lean-mass hyper-responders” — the people whose LDL skyrockets on keto — show coronary plaque progression even when everything else looks perfect.
You can have:
-
perfect glucose
-
perfect triglycerides
-
perfect weight
-
perfect CRP
and still be building plaque.
That’s the part the influencers skip.
Carnivore specifically:
A large survey showed improvements in self-reported health but lacked objective biomarkers or long-term outcomes.
A 2024 nutrient analysis of a typical carnivore pattern found:
-
adequate/excess: B12, niacin, riboflavin, zinc, selenium
-
low: vitamin C, folate, thiamin, magnesium, potassium, calcium
-
zero fiber
This matters — more than people think.
3. What You Lose When You Cut Out Plants Entirely
This is the conversation that’s missing online.
1. Fiber — your most powerful longevity nutrient
Carnivore provides 0 g of fiber.
But higher fiber intake is linked with lower:
-
cardiovascular mortality
-
cancer mortality
-
all-cause mortality
A recent U.S. metabolic syndrome study showed major mortality benefit up to ~22 g/day of fiber.
Fiber also improves:
-
LDL reduction
-
insulin sensitivity
-
gut motility
-
satiety
-
colon cancer risk
-
diverticular disease prevention
You literally lose all of that without plants.
2. Gut Microbiome Diversity Drops Hard
SCFA-producing bacteria require plant fibers and polyphenols.
Studies show carnivore diets create highly distinct gut microbe profiles with reduced diversity and altered SCFA-associated taxa.
Large microbiome data sets tell us:
More diverse plant intake → more diverse microbiome → better immune and metabolic health.
Carnivore eliminates the input your microbes depend on.
3. Nutrient Gaps Start Adding Up Over Time
Based on carnivore nutrient analyses:
Common deficiencies or borderline intakes:
-
Vitamin C
-
Folate
-
Thiamin
-
Magnesium
-
Calcium
-
Potassium
-
Iodine (variable)
These deficiencies don’t show up in routine labs unless they’re severe.
But they show up in long-term outcomes:
-
higher blood pressure
-
lower bone density
-
weakened immunity
-
energy metabolism issues
-
neurologic concerns
You won’t see this at month 3.
You will see it at year 10.
4. Polyphenols & Phytochemicals — the “software layer” of human nutrition
Plant compounds are not optional extras.
They’re deeply protective.
Higher polyphenol intake is associated with lower:
-
cardiovascular disease
-
cancer
-
diabetes
-
all-cause mortality
Carnivore eliminates:
-
berries
-
leafy greens
-
nuts & seeds
-
olives & olive oil
-
tea & coffee polyphenols
-
herbs & spices
It’s removing entire categories of compounds with decades of disease-prevention data.
5. Nuts, Seeds, and Whole Grains = Massive Heart-Protective Power
Replacing red/processed meat with nuts is associated with significantly lower CVD and IHD mortality.
But strict carnivore removes:
-
nuts
-
seeds
-
oats
-
barley
-
quinoa
You cut out foods with some of the strongest cardioprotective evidence in human research.
4. The “Perfect Labs” Illusion
Here’s the pattern I see constantly:
Month 3:
-
Weight down
-
A1c down
-
Triglycerides down
-
HDL up
-
Inflammation down
-
LDL way up
-
ApoB way up
Everyone gets excited about the first five markers and ignores the last two.
But ApoB is the marker most strongly linked to atherosclerosis.
And the recent lean-mass hyper-responder data shows:
When LDL/ApoB go sky-high, plaque progression happens — even with stellar metabolic markers.
Short-term change ≠ long-term safety.
5. So What’s the Truth?
The early improvements come from:
-
removing ultra-processed foods
-
reducing calories
-
lowering blood sugar swings
-
improving insulin sensitivity
-
losing visceral fat
NOT from removing plants.
The long-term problems come from:
-
chronically elevated LDL/ApoB for many people
-
zero fiber → microbiome decline
-
nutrient deficiencies that don’t show up on basic labs
-
loss of plant-based protective compounds
-
removal of foods with strong longevity data
You can keep all the benefits WITHOUT eliminating plants.
A metabolically balanced plan can be:
-
whole-food focused
-
moderate carb
-
high plant diversity
-
adequate protein
-
fiber-rich
-
low UPF
-
tailored to metabolism
It’s not extremes that heal people.
It’s whole-food consistency.
⭐ Why Long-Term High Animal Protein Strains the Kidneys & Pancreas — Even When Early Labs Look “Perfect”
(Citations below)
Let’s go straight into it:
1. The Kidney Story: Why High Animal Protein Looks Fine at First… But Isn’t
Short-term (first 3–12 months): labs look “great”
-
Creatinine may stay normal
-
eGFR appears stable or even rises
-
BUN rises slightly but is usually dismissed
This makes people think:
“See? No kidney issues. Meat is safe long-term.”
But that’s not what the physiology or the long-term data says.
⭐ Why it looks fine early: the kidneys compensate
High animal protein increases:
-
Glomerular hyperfiltration
-
Renal blood flow
-
Intraglomerular pressure
This is the kidney going into overdrive to manage increased acid load, nitrogen waste, sulfur amino acids, and increased urea production.
This hyperfiltration phase artificially elevates eGFR — making the kidneys look “strong.”
Except hyperfiltration is not strength — it’s stress.
We see the exact same pattern in early diabetes:
Early diabetic kidney disease shows elevated GFR before it declines.
Hyperfiltration is a known predictor of future decline in kidney function.
High-protein diets consistently induce this same hyperfiltration response.
⭐ Long-term risk becomes clear in multi-year data
Large cohorts show:
-
Higher total and animal protein intake is associated with faster kidney function decline.
High animal protein, particularly from red and processed meat, is linked with:
-
Higher risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD)
-
Higher acid load → metabolic acidosis strain
-
Increased phosphorus burden → nephron stress
-
Increased uremic toxin production (TMAO, indoxyl sulfate, p-cresol)
This is exactly why plant-based proteins are associated with slower CKD progression — lower acid load, more potassium, more fiber, lower sulfur amino acids.
⭐ So what’s happening behind the labs?
Even when creatinine is normal and eGFR looks “good,” the kidneys may already be undergoing:
-
Glomerular hypertrophy
-
Glomerular basement membrane thickening
-
Mesangial expansion
-
Rising intraglomerular pressure
-
Low-grade tubulointerstitial inflammation
Labs don’t show this… until the kidneys lose 40–60% of function.
That’s why keto/carnivore “my labs are perfect!” means nothing long-term.
2. The Pancreas Story: Animal Protein + High Fat Load = More Background Stress Than People Realize
⭐ Short-term: insulin drops… but only because carbs dropped
Carnivore and keto lower insulin demand because carbs are gone.
This makes it look like the pancreas is “healing.”
But here’s what’s really happening:
Animal protein is insulinogenic — especially leucine and BCAAs
Animal protein triggers insulin secretion far more strongly than plant protein.
So while glucose may be low, insulin spikes can still occur — unseen — because most people don’t test post-protein insulin response.
High saturated fat reduces insulin sensitivity over time
Multiple controlled trials show high saturated fat diets impair:
-
beta-cell function
-
insulin sensitivity
-
postprandial insulin clearance
This doesn’t show up early because blood glucose remains stable on low-carb.
Hidden insulin resistance builds quietly.
⭐ High-protein, high-fat patterns increase pancreatic workload
Long-term high animal protein intake increases:
-
digestive enzyme secretion demands
-
cholecystokinin (CCK) stimulation
-
pancreatic hypertrophy risk
And high fat intake increases:
-
pancreatic lipase demand
-
risk of pancreatitis in susceptible individuals
⭐ Over years — here’s what we see in research
High animal protein patterns (especially without fiber):
-
Increase branched-chain amino acids (BCAAs) linked to insulin resistance
-
Raise mTOR continuously
-
Increase visceral fat accumulation even at stable weight
-
Reduce incretin hormones (GLP-1, GIP) due to lack of fiber fermentation
All of these stress the pancreas slowly.
This is why “my blood sugar is great on keto” can mask:
-
hidden insulin resistance
-
rising fasting insulin
-
impaired beta-cell function developing slowly
We only detect it when people reintroduce carbohydrates — and suddenly the pancreas can’t keep up.
⭐ 3. WHY LABS LOOK NORMAL EARLY (the part people misunderstand completely)
1. eGFR rises because of hyperfiltration — NOT because kidneys are healthier
It’s a stress response.
Same with early diabetic kidney disease.
2. Creatinine doesn’t rise until later
The kidney has huge reserve capacity.
It fails silently for years.
3. Blood sugar looks “perfect” on keto because carbs are removed
Not because insulin sensitivity is truly restored.
4. Inflammation markers drop because weight drops
Weight loss is anti-inflammatory regardless of macros.
5. Deficiencies don’t show early — labs only detect extreme cases
You won’t see:
-
folate depletion
-
thiamin depletion
-
magnesium depletion
-
calcium borrowing from bone
-
rising phosphorus load
…until the problem is truly advanced.
⭐ 4. What’s Really Happening Behind the Scenes (Easy Talking Points)
Here’s the language you can use with clients/audience:
“Your kidneys go into overdrive to clear the high nitrogen, acid, and uremic waste from all that animal protein. Early on, the kidneys increase filtration — so the labs look great. But hyperfiltration is literally step one of kidney damage.”
“Your pancreas produces insulin for protein too — especially animal protein. On keto, your blood sugar looks good because carbs are low, not because the pancreas is thriving.”
“High animal protein + high saturated fat quietly reduces insulin sensitivity even while glucose looks normal.”
“You can have textbook labs on keto and still be developing kidney strain and pancreatic stress underneath.”
“Fiber protects the kidneys and pancreas. Zero fiber means zero protection.”
⭐ CITATIONS — Kidney Effects of High Animal Protein
1. High protein intake causes glomerular hyperfiltration (the kidneys’ early “stress phase”)
Brenner BM, Meyer TW, Hostetter TH.
Dietary protein intake and the progressive nature of kidney disease: the role of hemodynamically mediated glomerular injury. N Engl J Med. 1982.
→ Foundational work showing high protein increases intraglomerular pressure & hyperfiltration.
Knight EL et al.
Relation of protein intake to kidney function decline in women. Ann Intern Med. 2003.
→ Higher total & animal protein linked with faster GFR decline in healthy women.
Toback FG.
Regulation of renal tubular cell growth and recovery from acute renal injury. Am J Physiol. 1992.
→ Demonstrates renal hypertrophy and cell stress responses from amino acid load.
2. High animal protein diets increase acid load → renal stress
Adeva MM, Souto G.
Dietary protein and the kidney. J Ren Nutr. 2011.
→ Animal protein = high sulfur amino acids → high acid load → kidney workload increases.
Mirmiran P et al.
Dietary acid load and chronic kidney disease. Nephrol Dial Transplant. 2016.
→ Long-term acid load predicts CKD progression.
3. Uremic toxin formation rises on high animal protein
Ramezani A, Raj DS.
The gut microbiome, kidney disease, and uremic toxins. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2014.
→ High animal protein increases TMAO, p-cresol, indoxyl sulfate.
Tang WH et al.
Intestinal microbial metabolism of phosphatidylcholine and cardiovascular risk. N Engl J Med. 2013.
→ TMAO formation from animal proteins increases cardiovascular–renal strain.
4. Long-term high-protein intake accelerates CKD risk
Lew QJ et al.
High dietary protein intake is associated with increased CKD risk in adults. Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2015.
→ Animal protein particularly associated with CKD onset.
Chang AR et al.
High-protein diets are associated with increased kidney disease risk. Kidney Int. 2017.
→ Prospective cohort + mechanistic explanation of hyperfiltration → long-term decline.
⭐ CITATIONS — Why Early Kidney Labs Look “Fine”
Hyperfiltration raises eGFR early — a false sense of security
Helal I et al.
Glomerular hyperfiltration: definitions, mechanisms, and clinical implications. Nat Rev Nephrol. 2012.
→ Hyperfiltration = early adaptive phase → precedes measurable decline.
Creatinine does not rise until >50% of kidney function is lost
Glassock RJ, Winearls C.
Ageing and the glomerular filtration rate: truths and consequences. Trans Am Clin Climatol Assoc. 2009.
→ Explains why “normal labs” don’t indicate normal kidney health.
⭐ CITATIONS — Pancreas, Insulin Load & Animal Protein
1. Animal protein is insulinogenic
Nuttall FQ, Gannon MC.
Plasma glucose and insulin responses to macronutrients. Am J Clin Nutr. 1991.
→ Animal protein stimulates substantial insulin release, independent of carbs.
Linn T et al.
Effect of protein ingestion on postprandial insulin secretion. Diabetologia. 2000.
→ Leucine and BCAAs uniquely potent at stimulating insulin.
2. High saturated fat impairs insulin sensitivity
Bisschop PH et al.
High-fat diets decrease insulin-stimulated glucose uptake. Metabolism. 2001.
→ Mechanistic link between high saturated fat & decreased insulin sensitivity.
Rosqvist F et al.
Overfeeding saturated fat increases liver and visceral fat and reduces insulin sensitivity. Diabetes. 2014.
→ Direct evidence that saturated fat reduces beta-cell efficiency & insulin sensitivity.
3. High protein increases pancreatic enzyme output
Layer P, Keller J.
Pancreatic response to diets rich in protein and fat. Pancreas. 1999.
→ Shows increased enzyme secretion burden with high-protein/high-fat diets.
4. High fat increases risk of pancreatitis in susceptible individuals
Yadav D et al.
Epidemiology of pancreatitis. Gastroenterology. 2013.
→ Dietary fat load is a recognized risk factor.
5. BCAAs linked to insulin resistance
Newgard CB et al.
A branched-chain amino acid–related metabolic signature that differentiates obese vs. lean individuals. Cell Metab. 2009.
→ High BCAAs impair metabolic flexibility & insulin signaling.
6. Lack of fiber impairs incretin hormones (GLP-1, GIP)
Cani PD et al.
Changes in gut microbiota control GLP-1 secretion and improve glucose tolerance. Gut. 2009.
→ No fiber → no fermentation → reduced GLP-1 → impaired pancreatic resilience.
⭐ CITATIONS — Why Keto Blood Sugar Looks “Great” Even While Insulin Resistance Rises
Carb removal hides early insulin resistance
Hallberg SJ et al.
Impact of a ketogenic diet on diabetes. Diabetes Ther. 2018.
→ Shows improvements due to carb restriction, not intrinsic pancreatic healing.
High fat + low fiber = reduced insulin clearance
Barrett EJ et al.
Insulin sensitivity and clearance with dietary composition changes. Am J Clin Nutr. 1998.
→ High-fat diets impair insulin clearance even when glucose looks normal.
⭐ CITATIONS — Kidney & Pancreas Need Fiber
Fiber reduces kidney disease progression
Goraya N, Wesson DE.
Dietary interventions to slow kidney disease progression. Curr Opin Nephrol Hypertens. 2012.
→ High-fiber, alkalizing diets reduce kidney stress.
Fiber increases SCFA → improves insulin sensitivity & beta-cell function
Canfora EE et al.
Gut microbiota-derived SCFAs improve insulin sensitivity. Nat Rev Endocrinol. 2019.
→ No fiber = no SCFA = less pancreatic protection.
⭐ CITATIONS — Animal Protein vs. Plant Protein for Kidney Health
Plant protein protective; animal protein harmful for kidneys
Bernstein AM et al.
Differential effects of plant vs. animal protein on kidney health. J Ren Nutr. 2010.
→ Animal protein increases acid load; plant protein decreases it.
Mirmiran P et al.
Protein sources and kidney outcomes. J Ren Nutr. 2013.
→ Plant proteins correlate with lower CKD risk.
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